Did pit road determine the winner last week or did NASCAR? The racing officials have developed a peculiar habit of ignoring dangerous situations on track when it favors the driver that the future of their business hinges on. Either way, the fastest car did not win. That means long shots are alive and well in NASCAR 2022.

NASCAR heads to Nashville for the second time and races at the track that was abandoned a decade ago. Everyone celebrated the removal of this boring cookie-cutter track from the schedule. Last season, NASCAR returned but not because the track changed — the city changed. The market is huge, so NASCAR came crawling back. The racing wasn’t as terrible as expected last season, but it was the typical lap turner with limited passing. As always, trust the spreadsheet but also trust your eyes. Here are the best bets for the NASCAR Cup Series Ally 400 at Nashville, which gets underway Sunday, June 26 at 5 p.m. ET.

Will this be a predictable race at the technical road course in Sonoma? Or will NASCAR itch the yellow-flag scratch in Stage 3 and unleash chaos? As always, trust the spreadsheet but also trust your eyes. Here are the best bets for the NASCAR Cup Series Toyota / Save Mart 350 at Sonoma, which gets underway Sunday, June 12 at 4 p.m. ET.